Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 julio 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 02 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 183 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jul 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. There have been two B-class flares observed in the past 24 hours. Region 1243 (N16E08) produced a B2 event at 01/2111Z, and Region 1242 (N18W57) produced a B1 event at 1121Z. Region 1243 showed growth in the leader spot, but the trailer spots decayed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. ACE solar wind data indicated speeds between 360 - 430 km/s, consistent with a weak high speed stream from a favorably positioned coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for an isolated active period on days 1 and 2 (3 - 4 July). Day 3 (5 July) is expected to be quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jul a 05 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Jul 086
  Previsto   03 Jul-05 Jul  086/086/086
  Media de 90 Días        02 Jul 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jul  007/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Jul  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  007/010-007/010-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jul a 05 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%10%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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