Viendo archivo del martes, 5 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 186 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Several
low-level B-class flares occurred during the period from Regions
1242 (N18, L=056) and 1243 (N16W34). Region 1243 showed an increase
in spots and area and was classified as a Cso-beta group. Region
1244 (N15W67) showed a decrease in spots and area and was classified
as a Dso group with a Beta-gamma magnetic structure. No new regions
were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare for the next three
days (06-08 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. Minor storm
levels were observed between 05/0300-0600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (06 July). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active levels, are expected late on
day two (07 July) and day three (08 July). The increase in activity
is due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream and a possible
CME passage from the partial-halo CME observed on LASCO C3 at
03/0142Z.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jul a 08 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jul 085 Previsto 06 Jul-08 Jul 084/083/080 Media de 90 Días 05 Jul 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jul 007/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jul 007/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 005/005-008/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jul a 08 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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