Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
New Regions 1254 (S22E59) and 1255 (N17E45) were numbered overnight
and are classified as Cro-beta and Axx-alpha type groups
respectively. Region 1254 produced a few B-class flares but all
other regions on the disk have been quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with isolated C-class activity likely for the next three days
(15-17 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours
due to residual effects from the CH HSS. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods on day one (15 July) as effects from the CH HSS
subside. Mostly quiet conditions are expected for days two and three
(16-17 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jul 094 Previsto 15 Jul-17 Jul 094/094/094 Media de 90 Días 14 Jul 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jul 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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