Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 196 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1256 (N09E34) was numbered early in the period and
is classified as Dro-beta. There are currently 7 spotted regions on
the visible disk, but all have remained stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to levels with a chance for C-class events for the next
three days (16-18 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (16-18 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jul a 18 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jul 094 Previsto 16 Jul-18 Jul 094/094/092 Media de 90 Días 15 Jul 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jul 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jul-18 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jul a 18 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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