Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 211 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 1261 (N17E22), a Dkc
spot group with a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic classification, produced
an impulsive M9 flare at 0209Z with an associated Tenflare. There
appeared to be no CME associated with the event in LASCO imagery.
Region 1260 (N19W09) has shown consolidation in its trailer spots
and is now classified as a Ehi spot group with a Beta magnetic
configuration. Region 1263 (N18E48) has been relatively stable and
did not produce any significant flaring during the period. New
Region 1265 (N18W41) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with the chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active periods were
likely due to a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) associated with
the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream. ACE signatures
indicate a possible weak CIR onset at approximately 0900Z on 30
July.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active from 31 July to 01 August due to
effects from the coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on 02 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jul 113 Previsto 31 Jul-02 Aug 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 30 Jul 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jul 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug 012/012-012/012-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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