Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 agosto 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New Region 1281 (S21E64) produced occasional optical subflares during the period, two of which were associated with B-class x-ray flares. No significant activity was noted in the remaining spot groups. A weak Type II radio sweep occurred at 28/0420Z, likely associated with a filament disappearance from beyond the west limb. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low during the period (29 - 31 August) with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (29 August). Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (30 - 31 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Aug 101
  Previsto   29 Aug-31 Aug  100/098/095
  Media de 90 Días        28 Aug 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug  003/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Aug  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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