Viendo archivo del martes, 13 septiembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Sep 13 2235 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Número 256 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Sep 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low during the period. Two C1 X-ray
flares were observed at 13/0419Z and 13/1801Z from Region 1296
(N23E59) and Region 1283 (N14, L=227) which rotated off the NW limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for isolated M-class flares for the period (14- 16
September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated
minor to major levels between 13/0300 - 0900Z. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the period (14 - 16
September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Sep a 16 Sep
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Sep 129 Previsto 14 Sep-16 Sep 130/130/125 Media de 90 Días 13 Sep 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Sep 017/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Sep 013/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep 008/012-006/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Sep a 16 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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