Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 octubre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 279 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Oct 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest flare of the period, a C1 event at 06/0912Z, was from an unnumbered region in the southeast quadrant. There are currently 9 numbered regions on the visible disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next three days (07 - 09 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (07 - 09 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Oct a 09 Oct
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Oct 124
  Previsto   07 Oct-09 Oct  125/130/130
  Media de 90 Días        06 Oct 113
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Oct  012/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Oct  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct  008/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Oct a 09 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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