Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 281 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1309 (N22W11) produced
the lone C-class event at 08/0420Z. All of the regions on the disk
remained relatively stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (09-11 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on days one and two (09-10
October) due to the effects of a coronal hole high speed stream (CH
HSS). Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day three (11 October)
as the effects from the CH HSS subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Oct 118 Previsto 09 Oct-11 Oct 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 08 Oct 114
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Oct 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 010/012-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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