Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1339 (N20E20)
produced two M-class flares during the period: an M1/Sf at 06/0103Z
and an M1/Sn at 06/0635Z associated with a weak Type II radio sweep.
No significant change was noted in Region 1393 as it remained a
large (1230 millionths), magnetically complex Fkc group with a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 1338 (S14E02)
produced two C-class flares and showed minor spot growth in its
trailer portion. Newly numbered Region 1343 (N29E76) rotated into
view as an Hsx-type group. There were no Earth-directed CMEs
observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate during the period (07 - 09 November) with a slight chance
for high activity (M5 or higher) from Region 1339. There will also
be a slight chance for a proton flare from Region 1339 during the
period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The proton flux
enhancement that began on 04 November continued to gradually
decrease, but was still slightly above background levels at the
close of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during the period (07 - 09 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Nov 177 Previsto 07 Nov-09 Nov 175/175/175 Media de 90 Días 06 Nov 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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