Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. A few low level C-class flares
occurred early in the period from a region not yet around the east
limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (9-11 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for days 1-2 (9-10 December) before increasing
to unsettled and active conditions on day 3 (11 December) due to a
coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Dec 145 Previsto 09 Dec-11 Dec 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 08 Dec 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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