Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 355 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1376 (N20W59) produced
the largest flare of the period, a C6/Sn at 20/2250Z. It was
classified as a Dsi type group with Beta magnetic characteristics.
Regions 1382 (S14W10) and 1384 (N14E52) produced the majority of the
activity over the past 24 hours, mostly low level C-class flares.
These regions were classified as Dsc and Cao regions, respectively,
both with Beta magnetic characteristics. There were several CMEs
observed on LASCO C2 imagery, none of which were Earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low with a slight chance for an M-class event for the next three
days (22-24 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (22-24
December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Dec 145 Previsto 22 Dec-24 Dec 145/140/140 Media de 90 Días 21 Dec 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Dec-24 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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