Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 enero 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 008 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jan 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1393 (N16W45) continues to grow in both areal coverage and magnetic complexity. The largest event of the period was a C4 x-ray event from around the east limb. A non Earth directed CME was observed in LASCO C2 and C3 imagery around 08/0212Z. Region 1395 (N22E59) was numbered early in the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels for the next three days (09-11 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind characteristics, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, indicate the continuing effects of a weak coronal hole high-speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (09-11 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jan a 11 Jan
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Jan 136
  Previsto   09 Jan-11 Jan  135/135/135
  Media de 90 Días        08 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jan  005/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Jan  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Jan-11 Jan  004/005-004/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jan a 11 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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