Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 febrero 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 034 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Feb 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. The disk and limb was quiet and stable with no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (04 - 06 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated high latitude active periods due to the waning effects of a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. During the period, ACE satellite observations indicated wind speeds averaged about 425 km/s while the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field varied between +/- 5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (04 - 06 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Feb a 06 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Feb 111
  Previsto   04 Feb-06 Feb  110/110/105
  Media de 90 Días        03 Feb 141
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Feb  003/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Feb  006/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb  004/005-005/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Feb a 06 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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