Viendo archivo del lunes, 20 febrero 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 20 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 051 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Feb 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z

Solar activity was low. There were three C-class flares during the past 24 hours. The largest of these was a C4/Sf at 0509Z from Region 1421 (N18E32). Region 1422 (N16W11) produced the other two C-flares and is currently the largest group on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with some isolated storm periods at high latitudes. Solar wind data from ACE indicated the influence of a high speed stream from a coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with a chance for active periods on the first day (21 Feb) due to continued effects from the high speed stream. A decrease to mostly quiet levels is predicted for the second day (22 Feb) and quiet levels are expected to continue for the third day (23 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Feb a 23 Feb
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       20 Feb 111
  Previsto   21 Feb-23 Feb  110/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        20 Feb 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 19 Feb  011/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 20 Feb  016/018
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 21 Feb-23 Feb  008/010-006/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Feb a 23 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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