Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 febrero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. An asymmetrical, halo CME
was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 24/0346Z. The
associated event was a filament eruption centered near N32E38 which
was observed in SDO/AIA 304 imagery beginning at 24/0225Z. New
Region 1424 (N09E68) rotated on the East limb and was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days (25 -
27 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind speeds at the ACE
spacecraft ranged from approximately 400 - 460 km/s while the Bz
component of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field did not vary much
beyond +/- 5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days 1 and 2 (25 - 26 February). A
glancing blow from todays CME is expected to become geoeffective
early on day 3 (27 February) causing unsettled to active periods
with isolated minor storm periods possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 109 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 105/100/100 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 004/005-004/005-011/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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