Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 abril 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Occasional B-class flares
occurred. A filament erupted from the northwest quadrant during
approximately 07/1825 - 1900Z. The eruption was associated with a
partial-halo CME with an estimated plane of sky speed of 690 km/s.
Most of the CME mass appeared to be directed southwestward of Earth
and is not expected to be significantly geoeffective. No new regions
were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low during days 1 - 3 (09 - 11 April) with a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled levels on day 1 (09 April) with a chance
for active levels due to a CME passage that is expected to begin
early in the day. There will also be a chance for minor storm levels
at high latitudes on day 1. Field activity is expected to decrease
to quiet to unsettled levels during days 2 - 3 (10 - 11 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 093 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 115
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 003/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 013/015-006/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 05% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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