Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 agosto 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 231 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Aug 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was high. Region 1548 (N19E86) produced an M5/Sf flare at 18/0102Z, accompanied by a Tenflare (150 pfu). An M1/Sn flare from the same region followed at 18/0323Z, also accompanied by a Tenflare (120 pfu). Finally, an M2/1N occurred at 18/1607Z. Several coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the past 24 hours, none appear to have a geoeffective component. SDO 304 imagery showed a filament eruption in the vicinity of Region 1543 (N23W74) around 17/16Z. A CME was subsequently observed in LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery at 17/1836Z, and in LASCO C3 imagery at 17/1918Z. A second filament eruption and CME was observed near Region 1543 between 17/22Z and 18/0034Z. It was visible in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 18/0110Z and in LASCO C3 imagery at 18/0454Z. This CME was directed well north of the ecliptic.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with moderate activity likely for the next three days (19-21 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed at the ACE spacecraft ranged between about 350-420 km/s during the period. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged between -8 and +12 nT. Solar wind density at ACE increased sharply after 18/19Z. The geomagnetic field reached active levels during the last period (18-21Z) coincident with a change to the positive sector and the arrival of the corotating active region.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (19-21 August) as a corotating interaction region and coronal hole high speed stream become geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Aug a 21 Aug
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Aug 097
  Previsto   19 Aug-21 Aug  100/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        18 Aug 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Aug  011/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Aug  009/011
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Aug-21 Aug  010/012-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Aug a 21 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%25%15%

All times in UTC

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!

No Ads on SWL Pro!
No Ads on SWL Pro! Suscripciones
Donations
Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com! Donar
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X18/01/2026X1.9
Último evento clase M21/01/2026M3.4
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas22/01/2026Kp5+ (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas08/06/2022
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
diciembre 2025124 +32.2
enero 2026119.4 -4.6
Last 30 days121.8 +8.9

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12012X2.57
22014M7.18
32025M2.6
42014M1.61
52014M1.51
DstG
11971-92G2
22004-62
31980-58G1
41979-56G1
51992-48G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales