Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 agosto 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. There were a few low level B-class flares observed. All spotted regions were quiet and stable. New Region 1553 (S23E50), an Hsx/alpha type group, was numbered. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for C-class flares for the next three days (24-26 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for days 1-2 (24-25 August). Day 3 (26 August) is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an active period due to a high speed stream from a coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Aug 097
  Previsto   24 Aug-26 Aug  100/100/105
  Media de 90 Días        23 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug  006/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Aug  008/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug  006/005-006/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%25%

All times in UTC

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