Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 agosto 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest flare in the past 24 hours was a C1 at 1817Z from a region just around the east limb. No CMEs observed in the past 24 hours are expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to unsettled levels with an isolated period of active and major storm levels at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for active conditions. A slight chance exists for high latitudes to reach major storm levels on 27 August, increasing to a chance on 28 - 29 August. Increased activity is due to coronal hole high speed stream effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Aug 113
  Previsto   27 Aug-29 Aug  115/120/120
  Media de 90 Días        26 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug  010/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Aug  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug  007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%25%25%

All times in UTC

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