Viendo archivo del martes, 2 octubre 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Oct 02 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 276 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Oct 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1584 (S22W01) produced the largest event of the period, a C1/Sf flare at 02/0904Z. A new group, Region 1585 (S16E63) was numbered today as well. No Earth directed CMEs were observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next 3 days (3-5 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (3-5 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Oct a 05 Oct
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Oct 118
  Previsto   03 Oct-05 Oct  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        02 Oct 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Oct  021/036
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Oct  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct  004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Oct a 05 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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