Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 octubre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Oct 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 300 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 1598 (S12E04), a
Dko/Beta-Delta spot group, remained the most magnetically complex
region, yet only produced a C1/Sf flare at 26/1607Z. The most
active region was an area of enhanced plage near S27W87, formerly
Region 1594, where three low-level C-class flares originated.
Region 1596 (N08W35) showed signs of umbral separation, and new
Region 1600 (N09W14) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for M-class flares for the next three days
(27-29 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, remained relatively
steady at 350 km/s. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic
field remained mostly positive, with minor deflections of +/-4 nT,
while the total field held steady at 4 nT. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (27-29 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| Clase M | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Oct 131 Previsto 27 Oct-29 Oct 135/130/115 Media de 90 Días 26 Oct 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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