Viendo archivo del martes, 30 octubre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Oct 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Oct 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1598 (S11W51)
produced a B8 flare at 0137Z. A filament eruption occurred from
0640Z to 0855Z near S32E07 with a heliographic extent of 24 degrees.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for low level activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (31 October), increasing to a
chance for active levels with the arrival of the 27 and 28 October
CMEs late in the day. Unsettled to active with a chance for minor
storm levels are expected on day 2 (1 November) from CME effects.
On day 3 (2 November) conditions are expected to decline to quiet to
unsettled with a chance for active as CME effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Oct 106 Previsto 31 Oct-02 Nov 105/100/095 Media de 90 Días 30 Oct 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 010/012-015/020-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 45% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 60% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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