Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 diciembre 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Dec 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 338 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Dec 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C1 observed at 03/0036Z from a region that has not yet rotated around the east limb. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels on days one, two, and three (04 Dec, 05 Dec, 06 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 381 km/s at 03/2032Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 03/1959Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7.5 nT at 03/2032Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (04 Dec, 05 Dec, 06 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Dec a 06 Dec
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Dec 097
  Previsto   04 Dec-06 Dec 100/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        03 Dec 121

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Dec  008/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Dec  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec  005/005-004/005-004/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Dec a 06 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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