Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 enero 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Jan 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 3 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jan 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be at low
levels with a slight chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and
three (04 Jan, 05 Jan, 06 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 322 km/s at
03/1909Z. Total IMF reached 5.5 nT at 03/1220Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3.3 nT at 03/1209Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels for the next three days (04 Jan, 05 Jan, 06 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jan a 06 Jan
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jan 129 Previsto 04 Jan-06 Jan 130/130/130 Media de 90 Días 03 Jan 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jan 002/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jan a 06 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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