Emitido: 2013 Jan 12 1201 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2013 | 173 | 002 |
| 13 Jan 2013 | 173 | 001 |
| 14 Jan 2013 | 173 | 001 |
NOAA AR 1654 still has the potential for M class flares in the coming 48 hours, with a slight risk for an X flare; we therefore forecast active conditions for solar activity. An M 1.0 flare occurred on Jan. 11, in this region, at 1507 UT (peak time). So far, no Earth-directed CME, related to this region's flaring activity can be observed. However warning conditions are issued for the geomagnetic activity. Current conditions are quiet.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 105, based on 07 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 172 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 110 - Based on 12 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fin | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0843 | 0911 | 0917 | N05E36 | M1.2 | VI/2,II/1,IV/1 | 64/1654 | ||
| 11 | 1451 | 1507 | 1524 | N06E39 | M1.0 | 1F | 64/1654 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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