Emitido: 2013 Jan 23 1216 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2013 | 112 | 003 |
| 24 Jan 2013 | 114 | 003 |
| 25 Jan 2013 | 116 | 014 |
Catania sunspot group 70 (NOAA AR 1660) still has the potential to produce a C-class flare. A B5.4 flare peaking around 03:31 UT in this group was accompanied by coronal dimmings and a post-eruption arcade, but with only a weak and narrow CME (according to STEREO COR2 data) that is not expected to arrive at the Earth. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 290 km/s) solar wind flow with weak (around 1-2 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours. On January 25 we expect the arrival of a fast solar wind stream emanating from a low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere, possibly resulting in active geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 09 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 062 |
| 10cm solar flux | 110 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
| AK Wingst | 000 |
| Estimated Ap | 001 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 038 - Based on 16 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fin | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninguno | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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