Viendo archivo del miércoles, 6 febrero 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Feb 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 37 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Feb 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C8 event observed at
06/0021Z from Region 1667 (N22E01). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low
levels on days one, two, and three (07 Feb, 08 Feb, 09 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 346 km/s at
06/1848Z. Total IMF reached 6.5 nT at 06/2036Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -6.1 nT at 06/2050Z. Electrons greater than 2
MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 115 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels for the next three days (07 Feb, 08 Feb,
09 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Feb 104 Previsto 07 Feb-09 Feb 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 06 Feb 120
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 006/005-007/008-012/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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