Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 abril 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 98 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (09 Apr,
10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 408 km/s at
08/0524Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 08/0522Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -2 nT at 08/0712Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 341 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (09 Apr, 10 Apr)
and quiet levels on day three (11 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 139 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 114
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 007/008-006/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
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| Last 30 days | 96.9 +35.1 |
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