Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 mayo 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 May 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 May 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
29/2236Z from Region 1760 (N12E51). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 May,
01 Jun, 02 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 468 km/s at
29/2151Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 35365 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (31 May), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (01 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (02 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 May a 02 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 May 104 Previsto 31 May-02 Jun 105/105/110 Media de 90 Días 30 May 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 May 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 May 002/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 005/005-011/018-011/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 May a 02 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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