Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 octubre 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Oct 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 301 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Oct 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
28/0203Z from Region 1875 (N07W79). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (29 Oct, 30
Oct, 31 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 364 km/s at
28/0540Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 28/0143Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -5 nT at 28/0355Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4 pfu at 28/2020Z.
Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 418 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (29 Oct), quiet levels on
day two (30 Oct) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (31 Oct).
Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three
(29 Oct, 30 Oct, 31 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Oct 160 Previsto 29 Oct-31 Oct 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 28 Oct 116
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Oct 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct 007/008-005/012-017/024
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 35% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Unexplained proton activity 106Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 492AR4366 1016AR4374 13Feb 8-9 CMEs 25
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/02/2026 | M2.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 132.1 +19.5 |
| Last 30 days | 128.6 +27.4 |