Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 noviembre 2013

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Nov 21 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 325 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2013 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z100 to 21/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 21/1111Z from Region 1893 (S13, L=100). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (22 Nov, 23 Nov, 24 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 402 km/s at 20/2103Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (22 Nov, 23 Nov, 24 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Nov 141
  Previsto   22 Nov-24 Nov 135/135/135
  Media de 90 Días        21 Nov 126

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Nov  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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