Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 febrero 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Feb 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 44 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Feb 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
13/0140Z from Region 1974 (S07W25). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(14 Feb, 15 Feb, 16 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 431 km/s at
12/2151Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 13/0904Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached 0 nT at 13/1353Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1686 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (14 Feb), unsettled to
major storm levels on day two (15 Feb) and unsettled to active levels on
day three (16 Feb). The increased activity is associated with the
anticipated arrival of the CMEs observed on 11 and 12 Feb.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Feb a 16 Feb
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Feb 167 Previsto 14 Feb-16 Feb 165/165/160 Media de 90 Días 13 Feb 155
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Feb-16 Feb 015/025-028/040-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Feb a 16 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 75% | 55% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
viernes, 14 noviembre 2025
X4.0 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR14317 & 14318 24AR14321 8Current Farside Activity 263Filaments and prominences 416Aurora viewing locations in WA 35
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/12/2025 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 114.3 +22.5 |
| Last 30 days | 110.4 +23.9 |