Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 marzo 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Mar 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 66 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Mar 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
07/1857Z from Region 1995 (S16W76). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Mar, 09 Mar,
10 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
at ACE reached 508 km/s at 06/2248Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached 121 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (08 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (09 Mar, 10 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Mar 148 Previsto 08 Mar-10 Mar 145/140/135 Media de 90 Días 07 Mar 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Mar 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar 009/012-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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