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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emitido: 2014 May 25 1217 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Llamarada solar

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protones solares

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
25 May 2014	120	007
26 May 2014	122	016
27 May 2014	122	007

Bulletin

There were five C flares and an M flare during the past 24 hours, all released by NOAA AR 12065. The long duration M1.3 flare peaked at 18:35 UT on May 24. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. STEREO COR2 B imagery registered a CME at 23:09 UT on May 24, but this CME was probably associated to a backside event. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (95%) and for M flares around 60%, especially from NOAA AR 12065. Over the last 24 hours, the solar wind speed as observed by ACE decreased from around 450 km/s to about 430 km/s. Meanwhile the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 2 and 4 nT. Over the last 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on May 25 and 27. Quiet geomagnetic conditions with active (K Dourbes = 4) periods are possible on May 26, due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 074, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 24 May 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	118
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	006
Estimated Ap	006
Estimated international sunspot number	081 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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