Viendo archivo del martes, 27 mayo 2014

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 May 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2014

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 27/1415Z from Region 2065 (S19, L-147). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 May, 29 May, 30 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 362 km/s at 27/0349Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 367 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (28 May, 30 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (29 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
Clase M15%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 May 106
  Previsto   28 May-30 May 102/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        27 May 144

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 May   NA/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 May  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May  006/005-008/008-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%15%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor15%30%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%20%05%

All times in UTC

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