Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 junio 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Jun 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at
09/1229Z from Region 2085 (S20W16). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 645 km/s at
08/2205Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 09/0213Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 09/0721Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12
Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jun 161 Previsto 10 Jun-12 Jun 165/165/165 Media de 90 Días 09 Jun 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 029/037 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jun 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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