Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 julio 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Jul 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jul 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
25/0702Z from Region 2121 (N08E30). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one and two (26 Jul, 27 Jul)
and likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day
three (28 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
387 km/s at 25/1501Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 25/1259Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 25/0612Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (26 Jul), quiet levels on
day two (27 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (28 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jul 107 Previsto 26 Jul-28 Jul 110/115/120 Media de 90 Días 25 Jul 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 007/008-006/005-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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