Viendo archivo del martes, 29 julio 2014

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Jul 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 210 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jul 2014

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 29/1633Z from Region 2130 (S07E71). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 439 km/s at 28/2113Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jul a 01 Aug
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Jul 142
  Previsto   30 Jul-01 Aug 145/145/145
  Media de 90 Días        29 Jul 129

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jul  012/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Jul  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jul a 01 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%15%15%

All times in UTC

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