Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 agosto 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Aug 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 214 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Aug 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
02/1328Z from Region 2132 (S19E32). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(03 Aug, 04 Aug, 05 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
510 km/s at 02/1332Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 01/2112Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 02/1353Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (03 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (04 Aug, 05 Aug). Protons greater
than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (05
Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Aug a 05 Aug
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Aug 156 Previsto 03 Aug-05 Aug 150/145/145 Media de 90 Días 02 Aug 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Aug 014/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Aug 010/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug 014/016-010/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Aug a 05 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
Últimos mensajes del foro
X1.9 CME 1331Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 490Anomalous sunspots on the sun ? 2Current Farside Activity 329Ask a powergrid operator anything 50
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 117.9 -6.1 |
| Last 30 days | 121.4 +11.9 |