Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 diciembre 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Dec 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 358 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Dec 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
23/2249Z from Region 2242 (S16W85). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day one (25 Dec) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares
on days two and three (26 Dec, 27 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
615 km/s at 24/0328Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 23/2147Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -13 nT at 23/2200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Dec), quiet levels on day
two (26 Dec) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (27 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| Clase M | 50% | 30% | 25% |
| Clase X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Dec 151 Previsto 25 Dec-27 Dec 145/140/145 Media de 90 Días 24 Dec 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 013/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Dec-27 Dec 009/015-006/008-007/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.4 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 88.4 +10.2 |
| Last 30 days | 88.4 +14.9 |
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