Viendo archivo del martes, 3 febrero 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Feb 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 34 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Feb 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
03/1053Z from Region 2277 (N09W06). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on day one (04 Feb) and expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (05 Feb,
06 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
725 km/s at 03/0013Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 02/2354Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 02/2308Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3146 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (04 Feb,
05 Feb, 06 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Feb 149 Previsto 04 Feb-06 Feb 145/140/140 Media de 90 Días 03 Feb 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Feb 017/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Feb 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 010/012-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
Últimos mensajes del foro
Do the high-resolution sunspot counts point to more complex sunspots? 16X1.9 CME 1332Sunspot Latitudes at or near Solar Maximum 112AR 4351 12Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 491
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.1 -4.9 |
| Last 30 days | 122.3 +12.7 |