Viendo archivo del domingo, 1 marzo 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Mar 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 60 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at
01/1613Z from Region 2290 (N21W83). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low on days
one, two, and three (02 Mar, 03 Mar, 04 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 593 km/s at 01/0454Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 28/2148Z. The
maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 28/2301Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (02 Mar), unsettled
to active levels on day two (03 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (04 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Mar 128 Previsto 02 Mar-04 Mar 130/125/125 Media de 90 Días 01 Mar 143
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 023/032 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 021/025-012/015-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 40% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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