Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 marzo 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Mar 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 68 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at
09/1433Z from Region 2297 (S16E39). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar, 12 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
595 km/s at 08/2325Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 08/2348Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 09/2050Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1148 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (10 Mar,
11 Mar, 12 Mar). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar, 12 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Mar 123 Previsto 10 Mar-12 Mar 125/130/130 Media de 90 Días 09 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 007/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 009/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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