Viendo archivo del miércoles, 29 abril 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Apr 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 119 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Apr 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
29/1634Z from Region 2327 (S08W90). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (30
Apr, 01 May, 02 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 338 km/s at
28/2204Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 29/1316Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 29/1843Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 110 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Apr, 01 May)
and quiet levels on day three (02 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Apr a 02 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Apr 104 Previsto 30 Apr-02 May 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 29 Apr 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Apr 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Apr 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Apr-02 May 007/010-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Apr a 02 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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