Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 mayo 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emitido: 2015 May 13 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 May 2015 until 15 May 2015
Llamarada solar

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Major magstorm expected (A>=50 or K>=6)

Protones solares

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 May 2015160038
14 May 2015158038
15 May 2015156018

Bulletin

NOAA 2339 is decaying and produced only low-level C-class flares. NOAA 2342 produced the strongest flare of the period, a C3.5 flare peaking at 05:59UT and located in its trailing portion. The flare was associated with a series Type III radio-burst, and a surge was observed in H-alpha. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is nearly back at nominal levels. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed over the period.

Further C-class flaring is expected, with a chance on an M-class flare.

Moderate geomagnetic storming has been observed as the Earth is under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) of a recurrent coronal hole. Kp reached 6 between 03:00 and 09:00UT, while Dourbes reported a maximum K of 4. Solar wind speed is currently at about 700 km/s, while Bz-values were at -14 nT between 04:00 and 04:30UT.

Further episodes of minor to moderate geomagnetic storming are expected.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 121, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 12 May 2015

Wolf number Catania216
10cm solar flux163
AK Chambon La Forêt031
AK Wingst016
Estimated Ap019
Estimated international sunspot number115 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFinLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Ninguno

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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