Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 enero 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jan 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 24 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
24/0455Z from Region 2488 (N04W01). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Jan,
26 Jan, 27 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
519 km/s at 24/1602Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 24/1821Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 24/1725Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 12881 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (25 Jan, 26
Jan, 27 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jan 104 Previsto 25 Jan-27 Jan 105/108/108 Media de 90 Días 24 Jan 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 010/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 012/015-011/012-009/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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