Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 febrero 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Feb 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 57 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Feb 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
26/0951Z from Region 2506 (S07E22). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Feb,
28 Feb, 29 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 447 km/s at 26/1312Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 25/2103Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
25/2215Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 502 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (27 Feb, 28 Feb, 29
Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Feb a 29 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Feb 089 Previsto 27 Feb-29 Feb 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 26 Feb 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Feb 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Feb 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Feb-29 Feb 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Feb a 29 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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