Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 marzo 2016

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Mar 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 79 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Mar 2016

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (20 Mar, 21 Mar, 22 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 493 km/s at 19/1728Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 19/0511Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 19/0552Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 980 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (20 Mar, 21 Mar, 22 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Mar a 22 Mar
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Mar 089
  Previsto   20 Mar-22 Mar 090/090/085
  Media de 90 Días        19 Mar 103

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Mar  006/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Mar  015/018
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar  006/005-006/005-007/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Mar a 22 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%25%

All times in UTC

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