Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 junio 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (03
Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 453 km/s at 02/0346Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1311 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (03 Jun) and unsettled to
major storm levels on days two and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 085 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 092
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 008/010-024/035-021/032
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 20% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 70% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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